flood trends

REFERENCE LIST: Detection of Flood Trends

A - General articles on Global Water Cycle Trends, Flood Trend Evidence and the Stationarity Issue
Read all of the following A articles for essential background and context (most are short)
A-1	"Changes in the Global Water Cycle" (PDF) (2009) Chapter 11 of The 3rd United Nations World Water Development Report: Water in a Changing World (WWDR-3) (2009) www.unesco.org/water/wwap/wwdr/wwdr3/
A-2	Lins, H F (2005) Observed trends in hydrologic cycle components: [html] in Encyclopedia of Hydrological Science, 197 p 1-9. Edited by M G Anderson. [PDF in B/W]
A-3	Allan, R.P. and Soden, B.J. (2008) Atmospheric warming and the amplification of precipitation extremes: Science v 321 p 1481-1484
A-4	Milly et al. ( 2002) Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate: Nature, v 415, p 514-517
A-5	Milly et al. (2008) Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?: Science, v 319, p 573-574
Optional: you are encouraged to also look at these additional background articles of interest
	Loster, T (1999) Flood Trends and Global Change: presented at EuroConference on Global Change and Catastrophe Risk Management: Flood Risks in Europe IIASA Laxenburg, Austria 6–9 June 1999 http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/RMP/june99/program.html
	Kunkel, K.E. (2003) North American trends in extreme precipitation: Natural Hazards v 29, p 291–305 Kunkel, K.E. et al. (2013) Monitoring and Understanding Trends in Extreme Storms: State of Knowledge Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94.4 (April)
	Kundzewicz, Z W and Robson, A J (2004) Change detection in hydrological records— a review of the methodology: Hydrological Sciences, v 49, p 7-19.
B- North America: Search for Trends
Select one of the following B articles to report on / lead the discussion on in class & find one new reference to add to the list
B-1	Douglas et al. (2000) Trends in floods and low flows in the United States: impact of spatial correlation: Journal of Hydrology, v 240, p 90 - 105
B-2	Wasklewicz, T A et al. (2004) 20th century stage trends along the Mississippi River: Physical Geography, v 25, p. 208–224.
B-3	Lins, H F and Slack, J R (2005) Seasonal and regional characteristics of U.S. streamflow trends in the United States from 1940 to 1999: Physical Geography, v 26, p 489–501
B-4	Hamlet, A F and Lettenmaier, D P (2008) Effects of 20th century warming and climate variability on flood risk in the western U.S. : Water Resources Research, v 43, W06427, doi:10.1029/2006WR005099
B-5	Villarini, G et al (2009) On the stationarity of annual flood peaks in the continental United States during the 20th century: Water Resources Research v 45, W08417 doi:10.1029/2008WR007645
B-6	Walter, M and Vogel, R M (2010) Increasing trends in peak flows in the northeastern United States and their impacts on design: 2nd Joint Federal Interagency Conference, Las Vegas, NV, June 27 - July 1, 2010 .
Additional trend papers suggested by the class:
	Cunderlik, J M and Ourada, Taha (2009) Trends in the timing and magnitude of floods in Canada. Journal of Hydrology 375: 471–480 ( Derek's suggestion) Armstrong, W. H., Collins, M. J., & Snyder, N. P., (2012). Increased Frequency of Low‐Magnitude Floods in New England. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 48(2), 306-320. (Diana's suggestion) Vogel, R. M., Yaindl, C. and Walter, M. (2011), Nonstationarity: Flood Magnification and Recurrence Reduction Factors in the United States. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47: 464–474. doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00541.x (Devon's suggestion) Armstrong, W. H., Collins, M. J., & Snyder, N. P., (2014) Hydroclimatic flood trends in the northeastern United States and linkages with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59:9, 1636-1655, DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2013.862339 ( Becky's suggestion)

C- Other Continents: Search for Trends
Select one of the following C articles to report on / lead the discussion on, in class & find one new reference to add to the list
C-1	Robson, A J (2002) Evidence for trends in UK flooding: Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A, v 360, p 1327-1343
C-2	Mudelsee, M et al. (2003) No upward trends in the occurrence of extreme floods in central Europe: Nature v 425, p 166-169
C-3	Petrow T and Merz, B (2009) Trends in flood magnitude, frequency and seasonality in Germany in the period 1951–2002: [ pdf ] Journal of Hydrology v 37, p 129–141
C-4	Petrow, T et al. (2009) Changes in the flood hazard in Germany through changing frequency and persistence of circulation patterns: Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., v 9, p 1409–1423.
C-5	Shankman, D et al. (2006) Flood frequency in China’s Poyang Lake region: trends and teleconnections: Int. J. Climatol. v 26, p 1255–1266
C-6	Delgado, J M et al. (2010) Flood trends and variability in the Mekong river: Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 407–418.
Additional trend papers suggested by the class:
	Mediero, Luis et al. (2014) Detection and attribution of trends in magnitude, frequency and timing of floods in Spain: Journal of Hydrology 517: 1072–1088 ( Derek's suggestion) Madsen, H., Lawrence, D., Lang, M., Martinkova, M., & Kjeldsen, T. R., (2014) Review of trend analysis and climate change projections of extreme precipitation and floods in Europe. Journal of Hydrology, 519, 3634-3650. (Diana's suggestion) Hannaford, J. and Marsh, T. J. (2008), High-flow and flood trends in a network of undisturbed catchments in the UK. Int. J. Climatol., 28: 1325–1338. doi: 10.1002/joc.1643 (Devon's suggestion) Dahlke, H. E., Lyon, S. W., Stedinger, J. R., Rosqvist, G., & Jansson, P. (2012). Contrasting trends in floods for two sub-arctic catchments in northern Sweden–does glacier presence matter?. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16(7), 2123-2141. ( Becky's suggestion)